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Graph with two lines and observations for CMIP3 sea ice extent in Mar and Sep, along with the observations from 1979 to 2024.

Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time

31 May 2025 By Gavin 80 Comments

Over multiple generations of CMIP models Arctic sea ice trend predictions have gone from much too stable to about right. Why? … Read Full Article about Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time

Featured Story

Fjords and mountains in Northern Norway

The most recent climate status

12 May 2025 By rasmus 161 Comments

The Arctic Council’s Arctic Monitoring and assessment Programme (AMAP) recently released a Summary for PolicyMakers’ Arctic Climate Change Update 2024.  … Read Full Article about The most recent climate status

Recent Posts

Unforced variations: Jun 2025

1 Jun 2025 By group 101 Comments

This month's open thread. Please stay on climate topics and try to be constructive. … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Jun 2025

Unforced variations: May 2025

1 May 2025 By group

This month's open thread. Note that the Nenana Ice challenge break up date graph has been updated, and the Yukon river ice break up is imminent (or may have already happened! [Update - it already had]). Please stay focused on climate issues. … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: May 2025

Unforced Variations: Apr 2025

1 Apr 2025 By group

This month's open thread for climate topics. Please try to stay focused on climate instead of generic (and tedious) political sniping. … Read Full Article about Unforced Variations: Apr 2025

Two bar charts, one for 2023 and one for 2024, giving the individual and summed contributions to the residual arrayed alongside the observed residual.

WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies

20 Mar 2025 By Gavin

The WMO released its (now) annual state of the climate report this week. As well as the (now) standard set of graphs related to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, rising temperatures, reducing glacier mass, etc., Zeke Hausfather and I wrote up a short synthesis on the contributions to recent … Read Full Article about WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies

Andean glaciers have shrunk more than ever before in the entire Holocene

19 Mar 2025 By Stefan

Glaciers are important indicators of climate change. A recent study published in the leading journal Science shows that glaciers in the tropical Andes have now retreated further than at any other time in the entire Holocene - which covers the whole history of human civilisation since the invention … Read Full Article about Andean glaciers have shrunk more than ever before in the entire Holocene

Climate change in Africa

18 Mar 2025 By rasmus

[latexpage] While there have been some recent set-backs within science and climate research and disturbing news about NOAA, there is also continuing efforts on responding to climate change. During my travels to Mozambique and Ghana, I could sense a real appreciation for knowledge, and an … Read Full Article about Climate change in Africa

We need NOAA now more than ever

12 Mar 2025 By group

Guest commentary by Robert Hart, Kerry Emanuel, & Lance Bosart The National Weather Service (NWS) and its parent agency, the National Oceanic and AtmosphericAdministration (NOAA), delivers remarkable value to the taxpayers. This efficiency can be demonstrated by its enormous return on … Read Full Article about We need NOAA now more than ever

Unforced Variations: Mar 2025

1 Mar 2025 By group

This month's open thread on climate topics. Despite everything going on, please avoid generic political arguments - there are many other places on line for that. Impacts on climate science or actions from the layoffs in the US federal government are, however, very much on topic. … Read Full Article about Unforced Variations: Mar 2025

How will media report on this new AMOC study?

26 Feb 2025 By Stefan

I’ve been getting a lot of media queries about a new paper on the AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation), which has just been published. In my view this large media interest is perhaps due to confusing messages conveyed in the title of the paper and in press releases about it by the … Read Full Article about How will media report on this new AMOC study?

Unforced Variations: Feb 2025

3 Feb 2025 By group

This month's open thread on climate-related topics. … Read Full Article about Unforced Variations: Feb 2025

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